Kamala Harris Vs Trump 2024 Election Polls. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. 538’s final forecast for the presidential race between vice president kamala harris and former president donald trump is officially out, and it’s a real.
Silver released his final forecast after running 80,000 simulations of the race based on polling data and found that harris with a 50.015% chance of winning compared to trump’s. Narrow victories in a handful of swing states are likely to determine whether donald trump or kamala harris wins the us presidential election on november 5.
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